Big Data, Large Deal
Monday, November 24, 2003
Cousin Dave hamming it upwards inwards the 1960s |
The joke goes similar this:
Sherlock Holmes together with Dr. Watson induce upwards one's hear to become on a camping ground trip. After dinner together with a bottle of wine, they lay downward for the night, together with become to sleep.
Some hours later, Holmes awoke together with nudged his faithful friend.
"Watson, await upwards at the heaven together with say me what you lot see."
Watson replied, "I run across millions of stars."
"What does that say you?"
Watson pondered for a minute.
"Astronomically, it tells me that at that topographic point are millions of galaxies together with potentially billions of planets."
"Astrologically, I uncovering that Saturn is inwards Leo."
"Horologically, I deduce that the fourth dimension is about a quarter past times three."
"Theologically, I tin mail away run across that God is all powerful together with that nosotros are modest together with insignificant."
"Meteorologically, I suspect that nosotros volition need maintain a beautiful 24-hour interval tomorrow."
"What does it say you, Holmes?"
Holmes was still for a minute, together with so spoke: "Watson, you lot idiot. Someone has stolen our tent!"
Some hours later, Holmes awoke together with nudged his faithful friend.
"Watson, await upwards at the heaven together with say me what you lot see."
Watson replied, "I run across millions of stars."
"What does that say you?"
Watson pondered for a minute.
"Astronomically, it tells me that at that topographic point are millions of galaxies together with potentially billions of planets."
"Astrologically, I uncovering that Saturn is inwards Leo."
"Horologically, I deduce that the fourth dimension is about a quarter past times three."
"Theologically, I tin mail away run across that God is all powerful together with that nosotros are modest together with insignificant."
"Meteorologically, I suspect that nosotros volition need maintain a beautiful 24-hour interval tomorrow."
"What does it say you, Holmes?"
Holmes was still for a minute, together with so spoke: "Watson, you lot idiot. Someone has stolen our tent!"
Last week, I constitute this viii page insert inwards the New York Times, together with I was left wondering if this IBM advertizing was inadvertently some other shape of the joke.
IBM, you lot see, is trying (again) to transform itself. Once the manufacture leader inwards whatever it wanted to do, it has at nowadays spent years tardily decapitalizing every bit it tries to uncovering a commercial niche.
Now, it is offering services based on Watson, noting that "Watson is designed to understand, argue together with learn. In a sense, to think."
In a sense?
Here's a quick summary from Wikipedia:
Watson is a interrogation answering (QA) computing organisation that IBM built to apply advanced natural linguistic communication processing, information retrieval, cognition representation, automated reasoning, together with machine learning technologies to the plain of opened upwards domain interrogation answering.
The key divergence betwixt QA applied scientific discipline together with document search is that document search takes a keyword query together with returns a listing of documents, ranked inwards social club of relevance to the query (often based on popularity together with page ranking), patch QA applied scientific discipline takes a interrogation expressed inwards natural language, seeks to empathise it inwards much greater detail, together with returns a precise respond to the question.
According to IBM, "more than 100 different techniques are used to analyze natural language, position sources, uncovering together with generate hypotheses, uncovering together with score evidence, together with merge together with rank hypotheses."
Is that thinking? Stanley Fish offered this view:
Far from existence the image of intelligence, therefore, mere matching amongst no feel of mattering or relevance is barely whatever form of word at all. As beings for whom the the world already matters, our primal human powerfulness is to last able to run across what matters when.
So, inwards short, IBM is offering an expensive tool that mightiness help corporate executives troll through lots of information together with crusade to divine commercially relevant strategies. It suggests that, "When your trouble concern thinks, you lot tin mail away outthink" the competition.
IBM five-year stock toll summary |
I gauge the proof of the pudding is whether this approach tin mail away last applied to IBM itself. What I run across instead is a behemoth of a corporation, amongst tens of thousands of employees spread across the the world unfocused inwards role together with execution, stagnant inwards the upper-case missive of the alphabet markets--with thirteen right away quarters of spend upwards inwards revenues. The fellowship is an exemplar of animate existence strength decision-making, existence outflanked left together with correct past times to a greater extent than nimble players inwards the marketplace. The additional value offered past times Watson is unlikely to last attractive to manufacture leaders inwards other fields. The millions of dollars spent on the Times insert is, inwards my mind, simply some other instance of ineffective corporate thinking. What's the audience, together with how is the advertizing persuasive?
Back inwards the 1960's, you lot could driblet past times the IBM edifice inwards New York City together with option upwards the iconic bluish intend desk sign seen above. I all the same need maintain mine. I'm saving it for my daughters to need maintain to Antiques Roadshow someday, where it mightiness need maintain some value every bit an a slice of industrial archeology.